Except for computers and the Internet, the idea that we're experiencing rapid technological progress is a myth. First, even if this were true, that's a giganti

Except for computers and the Internet, the idea that we're experiencing rapid technological progress is a myth. First, even if this were true, that's a gigantic except. By comparison, one would probably not talk about the mid-1400's being a time of little progress, except for the development of the printing press. Second, the U.S. GDP has been roughly doubling every 20 years since at least 1890 (source: http://norvig.com/speech.html http://norvig.com/speech.html), and I doubt such a longstanding trajectory is going to change anytime soon, Thiel's pessimism notwithstanding.