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There are two assumptions you can make based on this chart. The first is still more or less true today: as demand for a product goes up, supply increases, and p
by losvedir 8y ago
There are two assumptions you can make based on this chart. The first is still more or less true today: as demand for a product goes up, supply increases, and price goes down. If the price gets too high, demand falls.
Er, no. I guess even smart people like Gates get simple economics wrong sometimes. It's understandable, though, I've always felt the P/Q axes should be switched, since people always speak about the price as the independent variable.
He's conflating the idea of pricing along the line with the demand line itself. Yes, at higher prices, less quantity is demanded and vice versa. Similarly, if you can sell the thing for a higher price, more people will be interested in and able to sell it, so the quantity available will increase, and vice versa.
However, "supply" and "demand" refer to the whole lines themselves, not points along the lines. Changing supply and demand means the lines shift. If "demand for a product goes up", the demand line shifts to the right, the equilibrium quantity increases, but so does the price, the opposite of what he's saying.
His misconception then leads to an even larger error in understanding with the next part:
The second assumption this chart makes is that the total cost of production increases as supply increases.
This is false. What it says is that with if the price you can get for a good is high there will be more suppliers. The canonical example is oil: when it sells for $20/barrel, only Saudi Arabia and places with it easily accessible will be able to profitably drill for it, and so the quantity supplied will be low. But at $120/barrel, you can now use fracking, deep water drilling, and other much more expensive processes, and so the quantity supplied will be higher.
Supply and demand is not about any individual producer producing more, and so it's not particularly useful in analyzing the behavior of a single firm. It's about the aggregate effect of multiple different parties, each with their own respective infrastructures and costs, profitably contributing to the supply (or not) at different price points.
- crazygringo 8y ago1) Everything you say is correct, and I have no idea why you're being downvoted. 2) In my experience, the supply+demand curve is one of the most misunderstood concepts in economics, and it took me a long time in college until I found an economics professor who could explain it properly. A lot of really intelligent people I know don't understand it (even though they think they do), and in my experience most business people don't actually understand it (that's fine, they don't usually need to), but I am fairly shocked to see Gates misunderstand it... unless this article is written by an intern or something, which I find more likely.
- TeMPOraL 8y agoRE 2), could you share your understanding, or point towards some resources that would let me check if my understanding is correct?
- crazygringo 8y agoThe Wikipedia article is a good start: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_and_demand https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_and_demand It does a good job of getting into and linking to its nuances, although it's not exactly a tutorial or anything.
- ethbro 8y agoGates> The second assumption this chart makes is that the total cost of production increases as supply increases. I think that's a poorly phrased segway. What he actually seems to be talking about later is that marginal cost flattens after some number of units, but then continues at a fairly constant level (representative of material inputs). Contrasting this with software and intangible production, where the marginal cost continues to decrease for much larger scales, before hitting a much lower floor (compute + disk + amortized development + maintenance). And how the proportion of our economy governed by that different marginal cost vs volume curve has continued to grow. And that this has underappreciated implications on how we design economic law. As he notes, Capitalism Without Capital is an exploration of this idea that he read and enjoyed.