3 ms·

I'm not a statistician, but something about that doesn't sound right to me.

• Estragon 16y ago
  >>> p = 1.2e6/7e9 # Probability of dying in any one year >>> scipy.exp(log(1-p)*70) # Probability of NOT dying 70 years in a row 0.98807069644395429 >>> 1-_ 0.011929303556045712 There might be some roundoff error in the exponentiation. I am too lazy to check.
  • code_duck 16y ago
    Great, thanks for the clarification.
  • lliiffee 16y ago
    Out of interest, why do you prefer the second line to (1-p)**70 ? Is there some kind of improved numerical stability?
• retube 16y ago
  I thought it sounded high too, but it's correct.