Great observation. You are absolutely right. Unfortunately, the public does not care about, or understand, numbers, probability, expectation or black swans, and

Great observation. You are absolutely right. Unfortunately, the public does not care about, or understand, numbers, probability, expectation or black swans, and the politicians know that at a gut level. I wish there was a consistent way to call out such bullshit in a way that matters. But the history of humanity vis-a-vis rhetoric from the time of Demosthenes is not entirely inspiring.