> Everybody knew that the bridge was unsafe. Oh yes? So I suppose everybody also knows why it collapsed, right? The thing is, saying that something is wrong i

> Everybody knew that the bridge was unsafe. Oh yes? So I suppose everybody also knows why it collapsed, right? The thing is, saying that something is wrong is not a proof of anything: the signal to noise ratio is also important. Every time something happens, everybody knew it was going to happen: the problem is, this is true also for all the things that eventually didn't happen. It's very tempting, after the fact, to say "ah, we all knew it". It's also, mostly, a delusion