4 ms·
You don't even need $500m to start a "real" bank. The problem is that banking is a business for suckers. Banks only make money because, theoretically, they hav
by dnomad 8y ago
You don't even need $500m to start a "real" bank.
The problem is that banking is a business for suckers. Banks only make money because, theoretically, they have low capital costs. But these days there are many, many entities flush with capital and eager to lend and they certainly don't care about actual cash flows or hard assets. In a world with 100B VC funds and SBICs and sovereign funds all desperate for any kind of real growth only suckers actually go to the bank for loans. And actually loaning real money to such people won't move the needle. This makes banking an inherently risky, and very boring commodity business. In the UK everybody's constantly asking why banks won't lend to anybody but real-estate developers and real-estate investors. What else are they supposed to do to pay their rent? Finance another kebab shop?
China, frankly, has done the right thing and fully embraced shadow banking. Having the economy held hostage by a bunch of golfers is insane. Extend the special privileges enjoyed by banks to a wide array of institutions and you will see capital find its way to the best allocators. This isn't about deregulating banks. This is about recognizing there are wide array of lenders out there who are ready to invest. Bring the shadow banks in from the cold.
- Retric 8y agoUS Banking makes ~175 Billion in profits per year. There are few industries that even approach that.
- modells 8y agoBanking is the true oldest profession. It might be that the barriers-to-entry and minimum viable customer base are sufficient to keep out most ventures without serious subject matter expertise and deep pockets backing.
- ouid 8y ago>banking is the oldest profession. I hope you're not serious about that.
- quirkot 8y agoThat's really more of a comment on market size than anything else, though. Everytime money moves it's an opportunity to profit.
- dnomad 8y agoThe Big Six made most of that money and they don't do much actual traditional banking these days. The other 6500 US banks are hardly raking it in.