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> China could crash the American economy any time they want. It'd hurt them, but it'd hurt America a lot more. Especially because oil exporters would immediatel
by 394549 8y ago
> China could crash the American economy any time they want. It'd hurt them, but it'd hurt America a lot more. Especially because oil exporters would immediately switch to doing oil trade in Euros, which would make it exceptionally hard for the dollar to recover.
But their likely action, according to the article you linked, might actually help the US economy by making its exports more competitive:
> China would not call in its debt all at once. If it did, the demand for the dollar would plummet. This dollar collapse would disrupt international markets even more than the 2008 financial crisis. China's economy would suffer along with everyone else's.
> It's more likely that China would slowly begin selling off its Treasury holdings. Even when it just warns that it plans to do so, dollar demand starts to drop. That hurts China's competitiveness. As it raises its export prices, U.S. consumers would buy American products instead. China could only start this process if it further expands its exports to other Asian countries and increases domestic demand.
China only amassed so much US debt because it sells RMB to buy dollars to keep the RMB down and fuel exports. Reversing that policy would make Chinese exports less competitive on the world market. Ultimately, that could thwart the CCP's ambitions to create "national champions" by limiting them to their domestic market.