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I agree that passive investing works, but the real story, I think, is that the economy is guaranteed to grow on average if the population keeps increasing and i
by coltonv 8y ago
I agree that passive investing works, but the real story, I think, is that the economy is guaranteed to grow on average if the population keeps increasing and innovation keeps happening.
If the population grows 3%, we have to produce roughly 3% more, so revenues go up roughly 3%, number of employed goes up roughly 3%, so the economy grows 3%.
If I invent a steel manufacturing process that makes steel 3% cheaper, expenses go down 3%, profits go up, supply goes up, prices go down, the economy grows.
If all you do is passively invest, then over large periods of time you should on average see returns of, roughly, population growth + innovation. Even if everyone is passively investing, it's the same thing. If you actively invest, but still invest in the whole market (as any diversified investor does), you get the same thing, minus ~1% towards. If everyone was actively investing before, and the market grew ~8% per year, and now they passively invested, why would the market not gain the same?