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>If we assume the population of Internet users has a similar age distribution as the world's population Well, this certainly isn't true. And in any case, the

>If we assume the population of Internet users has a similar age distribution as the world's population Well, this certainly isn't true. And in any case, the people making these predictions are factoring in things like this, they didn't just slap down a linear regression line and call it a day.

cs702 8y ago
> Well, this certainly isn't true. It depends on how those estimates of the world's Internet population are calculated -- e.g., from census and other household data. Is an African village of 47 with a dial-up connection counted as part of the world's Internet population? I don't know. Do you? > And in any case, the people making these predictions are factoring in things like this, they didn't just slap down a linear regression line and call it a day. One would hope so, yet many are acting... surprised. As a headline put it, "Facebook’s forecast for the future looks suddenly bleak."[a] [a] https://www.theverge.com/2018/7/26/17615330/facebook-earnings-forecast-user-growth-revenue https://www.theverge.com/2018/7/26/17615330/facebook-earning...