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I submitted the OP, and am a bit surprised to see it flagged. The OP looks to me like a sincere attempt to analyze fatality data. Yes, the authors are short T
by cs702 8y ago
I submitted the OP, and am a bit surprised to see it flagged. The OP looks to me like a sincere attempt to analyze fatality data.
Yes, the authors are short Tesla, but they disclose it. Yes, the analysis is naive, but that doesn't necessarily mean its conclusions are off. Yes, the inclusion of data from China is... questionable, but the authors address it upfront: "To have the largest sample size and best confidence intervals possible, we also included international accidents (three total, from Canada, Holland, and China). Given the higher incidence of fatal accidents per vehicle-year in China compared to the United States, and the lower incidence of fatal accidents in Holland and Canada, these three deaths should adjust to 3.63 deaths. However, for the sake of conservatism and to avoid a large debate about a rather small difference, we use 3.00 deaths in our analysis."
- dahdum 8y agoDoesn't deserve the flag IMO, Tesla is an emotional topic for many people. While there certainly have been hit pieces and hack journalism throughout the companies existence, I think this one has enough meat to be worth discussing. Like most investors, I'm long TSLA. Both index and individual shares.
- cs702 8y agoYes, exactly my thoughts. I would have liked to see the HN community rationally debate what to me looks like an earnest but naive analysis of fatality rates -- based on its merits or lack thereof. Instead, at least some in the HN community have resorted to ad hominem attacks ("Tesla short!") and flagging. For the record, I'm a huge fan of Musk and the company, but other than minimal long exposure through passive funds, I have no position in Tesla.
- philliphaydon 8y agoI must be stupid, but what does "Short Tesla" mean?
- idrae 8y agoMeans that they have short-selled Tesla stock. Simply put, they are betting on the Tesla share price to fall. Edit: Together with the highly dubious "statistical" analysis they did, this COULD suggest that the article is intended to create doubts about Tesla and thus drive the stock price down. However, this is of course speculation.