3 ms·
There was a poll that normalized the data by assuming 98% of African Americans were in favor of Clinton based on a minuscule sample size heavily dependent on Af
by propman 8y ago
There was a poll that normalized the data by assuming 98% of African Americans were in favor of Clinton based on a minuscule sample size heavily dependent on African American women which didn’t raise a red flag for me BUT that poll assumed that Black voters would come out with a greater turnout than for Obama which I thought was ridiculously untrue. Now this was a public poll and not their internals, but after reading that I placed some friendly wagers that trump would win certain states (he won 3/4 I predicted).
At the time I thought Clinton was a superior candidate to Trump, so I did message a Clinton campaign member my concerns and was ignored. I posted on a Clinton forum and got blocked for being a right wing troll and was told they were ahead in Arizona and competitive in Texas, so there’s no way they need to be concerned about the states I mentioned. The group think was absurd. No dissent allowed.
I bought Chasing Hillary by a NYTimes reporter and that absurd elitism and overconfidence and refusal to hear any real dissent was a recurring theme in that book. (I wouldn’t reccomend it, but the biggest lesson I learned there was the Clinton campaign played everything so safe. A dozen reviewers checking every joke, every line, every answer so every comment Hillary spoke became devoid of substance and too safe and many good plays were shot down if any of a handful of people disagreed with them).