3 ms·
Terribly! Here's some for starters: - our total misunderstanding of, and gross inflation of, risk, leading amongst countless other things to the total demise
by enko 16y ago
Terribly!
Here's some for starters:
- our total misunderstanding of, and gross inflation of, risk, leading amongst countless other things to the total demise of intergenerational friendship and or knowledge transfer for fear of mostly figmented "predators"
- our laughable superstitions about supernatural gods and demons which still manage to dominate our politics
- our inability to use rationality, statistics and outcomes-based thinking to make decisions, instead resorting to emotion and worst case thinking, to disastrous effect
- our idiotic ostrich-like "war on some drugs"
- our barbaric indifference to the suffering of others
- our continuing inability to distinguish between race and culture
Actually, typing that I realise how many of them are really due to the inability to estimate risk.
- teaspoon 16y agoIf these problems are rooted in our innate inability to estimate risk, then are they really likely to disappear in the future?
- lhnz 16y agoYou think it's innate?
- lincolnq 16y agoWe'll have computers which will increasingly replace humans in risk estimation. People will just do what the computer tells them to do.
- rubinelli 16y agoWe already have expert systems that can estimate some categories of risk very well. People don't trust them anyway. Personally, I think the problem isn't accuracy, it's accountability. You can't fire or sue a piece of software that makes a wrong estimate.