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In Waymo’s most recently reported month, November 2017, they reported over 30,000 miles driven with only a single disengagement. It’s hard to dispute that they’
by JamilD 8y ago
In Waymo’s most recently reported month, November 2017, they reported over 30,000 miles driven with only a single disengagement. It’s hard to dispute that they’re years ahead of the competition at this point.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- perl4ever 8y agoI don't doubt they are ahead, but on the other hand it appears there are about 1.25 fatalities per 100 million miles from human drivers. If you equate a "disengagement" to a human releasing all the controls of a vehicle and covering their eyes in panic, then I think it's reasonable to extrapolate the Waymo figure to about 3300 fatalities per 100 million miles. Which is about 2600 times worse than the human average. This seems a bit odd, considering the people in other threads about self-driving cars vehemently arguing that we must switch to self-driving cars immediately to save lives. On the bright side, once Waymo works out the bugs, we should have enough data to say their self-driving cars are probably comparable to humans in about...270 years of no failures (100M/30K/12).