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There's no point in putting it to "hard numbers" if you make terribly impractical guesstimates.
by jpwagner 16y ago
There's no point in putting it to "hard numbers" if you make terribly impractical guesstimates.
- yummyfajitas 16y agoPlease explain which of my approximations you believe changes my results significantly. (By "significantly", I mean "increases the odds of your vote mattering to a number greater than, say, 10^{-86}. )
- jpwagner 16y agoI can't help you clean up the calculations because the entire premise that the probability of "your vote mattering" times your potential financial gain from one candidate over another gives any reasonable estimate of utility of a vote is absurd.
- yummyfajitas 16y agoIt doesn't have to be financial gain - it can be altruistic gain from policy choices. As I said in another post, if you personally would be willing to spend $50k to legalize gay marriage (for example), you can replace $50k of financial gain by $50k worth of utility derived from helping others.