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Production stats: Q2 2018: 53,339 Q2 2017: 25,708 Still impressive, but not an increase of 250%. http://ir.tesla.com/news-releases/news-release-details/updat

• mikeash 8y ago
  Production stats: 7,000/week at the end of Q2. Am I just not making myself clear on where the 350,000/year figure came from, or are you ignoring it to make some sort of point?
  • reitzensteinm 8y ago
    Extrapolating from the crunch week is just wrong. It featured: 1) A temporary production line 2) Reworked cars included in the total 3) 24x7 production, all hands on deck 4) No downtime for maintenance 5) Went on for 175 hours, not 168 6) Whatever else that went on that's not public (almost certainly some stockpiling of parts) Maybe you can draw some inferences from the outcome but N x 50 is not the way to do it. Output will certainly drop in the short term, it's just a question of how much. In the long term, maybe they'll do better than 5k a week, maybe they'll eventually reach there as a steady state, but even the latter isn't guaranteed.
    • mikeash 8y ago
      This is an actually useful response, instead of just ignoring what I’m saying and quoting numbers I already know. I think they’ll sustain this rate. We’ll see.