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Taking the devils advocate position, the intuition is that a) lots of money (and lots of middle class money, in particular) combined with b) western culture (mo
by javajosh 8y ago
Taking the devils advocate position, the intuition is that a) lots of money (and lots of middle class money, in particular) combined with b) western culture (movies, games, software) will "open up" China.
Of course, I think this is a silly idea. One proof is how the west seems to be closing up - which implies that money and culture is not such a strong force for "opening up". The thing about China that must change is the nature of power, which remains firmly in the hands of the Communist Party, which is independent of the elected leader. As long as they retain real power, China degenerates into a nation ruled by people not a nation ruled by law.
No, the force that makes a nation "open up" is a culture that invites dissenting voices, and speaks up, loudly, when dissent is stifled anywhere, at home or abroad. We can say, at least until recently, that one of our most unique and valuable qualities was this extreme position on dissent, to not just tolerate it, but encourage it. To open up peacefully, the Communist Party must itself open up to dissent, encourage it within itself, and allow a new, opposition party to establish itself.
But I digress.
- oblio 8y agoYou don't need a middle class, you 2-3 generations of middle class. The former dirt farmer turned CEO or medic won't speak up. Poverty and penury are etched into his brain. The kids used to have enough all their love will be the ones rebelling. The alternative is that everyone starves and you get revolutions, but fewer and fewer people are starving in China and thus the government is legitimized.