3 ms·
> according to the most responsible analyses (see 538: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-el
by Reedx 8y ago
> according to the most responsible analyses (see 538: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/)
Yeah, it was amazing to see the storm of hate that poured down on Nate Silver as a result. Thousands of people calling him a fraud (and worse), saying they would never trust him again, etc. Even if he had said there was a 99% chance, that still leaves 1%!
- c3534l 8y agoWhat's worse is before the election, 538 was getting massive heat for over-estimating the likelihood of Trump winning. People see what they want to see and rewrite the history accordingly.