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Environmental technology will be harder than we thought at first, then we'll get the hang of it. Some people will die along the way. Then it will improve expone
by GW150914 8y ago
Environmental technology will be harder than we thought at first, then we'll get the hang of it. Some people will die along the way. Then it will improve exponentially, as economic impetus comes into play.
Unless you know a lot that no one serious claims to know, then this is a statement of what you hope for and maybe personally believe, but for which no evidence exists. The sheer bulk of unknown unknowns in environmental tech, not to mention other assumptions you’ve been making about industry in space and more, are too numerous and prevalent to allow for confident statements either way. You may be right that humanity’s destiny is in the far reaches of the solar system, but it could go many other ways. Maybe we’ll die in the dirt, or maybe we’ll thrive in completely different ways. For all that you know, rather than personally wish to believe, our future may more closely resemble something like a Dyson Swarm constructed by drones rather than hurling ourselves into the dim and cold reaches of space. Maybe we’ll figure out a mutually amicable way to control population rates and make the Earth a Paradise, and leave space for robots. Who knows? Not me, not you.
All of which is to say, please stop passing off something that is less than a hunch as an argument. The core of science is skepticism and a demand for evidence, while the core of pop science is an inverse relationship between knowledge and enthusiasm. Claiming to know what will happen in 50 years is a joke, in 100 years delusion, and in 1000 years religion. There are so many branches and twists and turns, both positive and negative and just plain unforeseen that futurism is crap.
- stcredzero 8y agoThe sheer bulk of unknown unknowns in environmental tech Is why I would bet that lots of people will die while we're getting the hang of it. You may be right that humanity’s destiny is in the far reaches of the solar system, but it could go many other ways. Maybe we’ll die in the dirt Tell you what: If we all end up dead, I'll buy you drinks! But if I'm not wrong, you can owe me my net worth, rounded down to the nearest billion. All of which is to say, please stop passing off something that is less than a hunch as an argument Call it what you like. I call it a conviction. Claiming to know what will happen in 50 years is a joke, in 100 years delusion, and in 1000 years religion. Don't sweat it. I'm not about to judge you morally and strap you to a tree over it. There are so many branches and twists and turns, both positive and negative and just plain unforeseen that futurism is crap. How about, "Science Fiction?"