Not to be rude, but these scenarios and percentages are all really random as is your valuation. Its far more likely they continue to do the same thing they have

Not to be rude, but these scenarios and percentages are all really random as is your valuation. Its far more likely they continue to do the same thing they have for the last year or two: limp through their slowly escalating production targets until the Model 3 is just one of several electric sedans available and there is no way to justify their multiples.