2 ms·

> he believes he wouldn't be hanged at all > he assumes what the judge said is true The judge says he will be hanged. Your comments are inconsistent.

• p1esk 8y ago
  Actually, you're right. However, the paradox arises no matter what the prisoner concludes. If he concludes that the hanging won't be a surprise, he will be surprised by the outcome (the knock on Wednesday).
  • pieguy 8y ago
    Let me say it again in a different way. My resolution of the paradox is that the prisoner incorrectly negates "x will happen" as "x won't happen" instead of negating "x definitely will happen" as "x might not happen". Thus,the prisoner cannot conclude that the hanging won't be a surprise. The prisoner can only conclude that the hanging might not be a surprise.
    • p1esk 8y ago
      It seems like you're right again, but I don't have time to think more about this at the moment, unfortunately.