> Just that "expected" sounds like there's a certainty about it It does seem give a sense of certainty, but is not how "expect" is used in probability. The exp

> Just that "expected" sounds like there's a certainty about it It does seem give a sense of certainty, but is not how "expect" is used in probability. The expected value is just the average value per attempt as converges as attempts approaches infinity. So its a useful measure of a distribution (which can be used to make informed gambling decisions), but shouldn't be used to make a prediction on any single attempt.