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How is the premise of monte carlo analysis flawed because "of course multiplying together..."? Monte carlo is just a way to estimate the total distribution of t
by TTPrograms 8y ago
How is the premise of monte carlo analysis flawed because "of course multiplying together..."? Monte carlo is just a way to estimate the total distribution of the resulting drake probability given uncertainties about the other values. The resulting distribution they depict is just the distribution of outcomes according to our uncertainties. It's precisely bayesian using the empirical estimates according to the literature.