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This is a great summary. I think his guideposts are helpful for most decision support initiatives, whether you're using data to try and support decisions, or re
by adam 8y ago
This is a great summary. I think his guideposts are helpful for most decision support initiatives, whether you're using data to try and support decisions, or reaching out to humans.
We run prediction markets inside companies and find that if we don't establish a good lifecycle of asking forecasting questions, having people respond with probabilities, then decision makers REACTING to those probabilities in some way (whether they agree with them or not, just acknowledge their existence) the likelihood of the project failing is far higher.