> The US Navy created Program Analysts and Review Technique (PERT) for projects like that. It seems to have worked pretty well. The U.S. military, including th

> The US Navy created Program Analysts and Review Technique (PERT) for projects like that. It seems to have worked pretty well. The U.S. military, including the Navy, makes plenty of headlines for over-budget, over-schedule projects. For the Navy look at their highest profile recent projects: Ford-class aircraft carriers, Zumwalt destroyers, and, IIRC, the LCS. That said, I know nothing about PERT.