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They also are clustered in coastal cities and votes there are worth less than votes elsewhere for reasons. I wonder how much of turnout downturn is just ration
by mattnewton 8y ago
They also are clustered in coastal cities and votes there are worth less than votes elsewhere for reasons.
I wonder how much of turnout downturn is just rational: If half my city didn’t vote it wouldn’t have made a lick of difference for the last national election. Probably wouldn’t have mattered if the whole city didn’t vote, because I live in coastal California.
- JumpCrisscross 8y ago> votes there are worth less than votes elsewhere for reasons 139 million Americans voted in 2016's general election [1]. Of that, 34 million were millennials, or 49% of millennial eligible voters [2]. 69% of Boomers voted [2]. If a similar fraction of millennials voted, we'd have had 48 million votes [a]. That would bring our share of the vote to 31% [b], the same as boomers [c]. Geographic effects act on the margins. Bringing 14 million additional voters to the polls will change outcomes and change legislative priorities regardless of how they are distributed. [1] http://www.electproject.org/2016g http://www.electproject.org/2016g [2] http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/31/millennials-and-gen-xers-outvoted-boomers-and-older-generations-in-2016-election/ http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/31/millennials-... [a] (34 x 10^6 / 0.49) 0.69* [b] (48 x 10^6 - 34 x 10^6)/(48 x 10^6 - 34 x 10^6 + 139 x 10^6) [c] 48.1 x 10^6 / (48 x 10^6 - 34 x 10^6 + 139 x 10^6)