3 ms·
Yes, it does. He didn't say, "it doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, unless of course, it's sufficiently beautiful that it has high posterior probabili
by gwern 8y ago
Yes, it does. He didn't say, "it doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, unless of course, it's sufficiently beautiful that it has high posterior probability such that you will dismiss an indefinite but potentially large number of experiments showing it's wrong until enough experiments have been done that you have to admit that it's wrong because it disagrees with them".
Of course, Feynman was right to dismiss those experiments. It's his quote which is cute, oversimplified, and wrong. It's Duhem-Quine all over.