Euhm. Of course there's the factor that there's "timing the market" and there's realizing the current expansion has been going on 9+ years (average = 8) and jus

Euhm. Of course there's the factor that there's "timing the market" and there's realizing the current expansion has been going on 9+ years (average = 8) and just not caring you get the top wrong by ~1 year. Timing the market is arbitrarily hard or easy depending on the time ranges involved. Saying that there'll be a recession somewhere in the next 2 years or so is almost a certainty. If you want to get it right to the day ... big problem. Month ... still serious problem. Right give or take half a year ... probably doable with enough research (though I think you'd conclude that it'll happen around the beginning of 2019, not quite now).