You're comparing two complex, multifactorial outcomes as though they're have a direct inverse correlation. What about causality? Confounding? Multivariate anal

You're comparing two complex, multifactorial outcomes as though they're have a direct inverse correlation. What about causality? Confounding? Multivariate analysis? Nah? You'll just assume they're causally related? By the way, I rounded off the second of those numbers from 37% to 40%. Does that change the conclusion you reached using your statistical system? If not, what would be the threshold percentage at which you would determine there to be no direct inverse relationship between the two, after all?