4 ms·
My prediction is that if self-driving cars commingle with human-driven cars on the same roadway, and are common enough to show up during your commute, road safe
by niftich 8y ago
My prediction is that if self-driving cars commingle with human-driven cars on the same roadway, and are common enough to show up during your commute, road safety will improve slightly in aggregate, but the immediate environs of traffic surrounding a self-driving car will be less safe.
There will be drivers annoyed at the car whose behavior approximates a tentative, wary driver: strictly adhering to the speed limit, leaving ample space in front, avoiding lane changes, braking early, and occasionally pumping the brakes for no discernible reason. These self-driving cars will create a traffic bubble around them, making it less safe for everyone else, including the aggressive drivers who will cut it off or overtake it at a high rate of speed, and the average motorists who are just trying to align their driving to the emergent conditions of traffic, and are caught between conflicting pressures and unsafe adjacency to different speeds.
- skybrian 8y agoIt's unclear to me why human drivers should be considered unable to adapt to more "tentative, wary" drivers on the roads. After all, humans vary quite a bit in how they drive. There are plenty of cautious drivers already out there.
- tempestn 8y agoThey do adapt; it's just slightly less safe than being among a set of vehicles behaving more similarly. Same thing with a particularly tentative human driver. (Or a particularly aggressive one, of course.)
- dsfyu404ed 8y agoHumans are pretty good drivers if you don't count the ones who are drunk, looking at a phone or otherwise impaired. If you a bunch of AI cars into the mix safety will decrease unless you toss them in in a way that results in them displacing the more risky drivers.