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>That being said, the computer models predicting what the consequences of global warming will be, have greatly over estimated (at least the timeline of) real wo
by xoa 8y ago
>That being said, the computer models predicting what the consequences of global warming will be, have greatly over estimated (at least the timeline of) real world impacts.
Eh? Models have consistently underestimated the timeline. What exactly random individual articles in the bait-crazy science-ignorant general media may exclaim isn't particularly relevant to the actual state of the science. I mean, you don't read about computer science or bio or whatever stories there, see them get something hilariously wrong, then immediately flip to the next page and take their expertise on some other technical subject as gospel do you? The IPCC reports have been very conservative and used significant error bars. They've even consistently indulged in the fiction that somehow the world would come together and suddenly deal with emissions rather then just letting it run. Interest backed media constantly have played down any possible consequences or flat out asserted it'd be a net positive, that there'd be lots of new farmland say. The old lie of "back in the 70s they said we'd see a new ice age!!" still gets trotted out.
The picture you paint seems the pretty much the polar opposite of the media reality over the last few decades.
- blixt 8y agoAs you two have somewhat opposite memories/knowledge on the historical actions of media and science, maybe it'd be good to get some sources out in terms of old reports and articles?
- dbingham 8y agoClimate predictions, the accepted scientific ones, have consistently been more conservative than what has actually happened: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/climate-science-predictions-prove-too-conservative/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/climate-science-p...