That's just obvious misuse of probability, and if you made such silly assumptions in a probability class you would be hard pressed to get any partial credit. Wh

That's just obvious misuse of probability, and if you made such silly assumptions in a probability class you would be hard pressed to get any partial credit. Who says that all the god-possibilities in Wikipedia are equally likely? You could misapply probability to the proposition that various forms of transportation would come crashing through my wall, and come up with a fairly high probability of some form of automobile crashing through my wall. The fact that you can do math wrong doesn't mean the math doesn't apply. However, if you see (for example) someone turn into a pillar of salt, and hear a booming voice from the sky proclaiming itself god, then that should make the existence of that god more probable in your estimation. Ditto for cars crashing through walls: if it happened more often, then this evidence should raise your estimate of the probability of suddenly having your wall knocked down by someone's car. This doesn't have to be complicated; it's actually very straightforward. To you, probability may be a highly mathematical concept that doesn't apply to everything. To me, probability is how we express uncertainty. It's a powerful way of describing the way the universe works, and we ignore or misrepresent it at our own peril.