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Perhaps not absolutely, but in a Bayesian sense it should make us less sure of the theory's truth. "Falsification" is really just severe scepticism, after all,
by repsilat 8y ago
Perhaps not absolutely, but in a Bayesian sense it should make us less sure of the theory's truth. "Falsification" is really just severe scepticism, after all, nothing can be absolutely proven in any direction.
- sgt101 8y agoI think that Bayesian reasoning applies to a different category of knowledge; there are things for which we have no predictive theories that we have to reason about probalistically and Bayes is good for that. But thinking about how things are and probability seems a poor duo - after all, we can end up 99.999% sure that something is true, observe one counter example and now know that 100% it is false... Bayes doesn't do that.