3 ms·
Kinda unrelated but does anyone know where do Google get the win probability numbers from on the match pages? Is it something scientific or some "social" number
by bdz 8y ago
Kinda unrelated but does anyone know where do Google get the win probability numbers from on the match pages? Is it something scientific or some "social" numbers (like which team is more popular, more searches etc.)
- apeacox 8y agoI suppose through some kind of machine learning, given the fact that they have a miriad of data of any kind. It might look like a funny experiment/excercise for someone at Google.
- SlashmanX 8y agoI believe they use the ELO Ratings[0]. they have the Win Probability on their website[1]. [0] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Football_Elo_Ratings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Football_Elo_Ratings [1] - http://eloratings.net/fixtures http://eloratings.net/fixtures
- tome 8y agoYou could very easily source it from betting markets.
- thom 8y agoA popular method is described in this paper: http://web.math.ku.dk/~rolf/teaching/thesis/DixonColes.pdf http://web.math.ku.dk/~rolf/teaching/thesis/DixonColes.pdf