4 ms·
Such a nice article. But I have to note that the linked (2013) piece is even better: https://youarenotsosmart.com/2013/05/23/survivorship-bias/ https://youareno
by tsenkov 8y ago
Such a nice article. But I have to note that the linked (2013) piece is even better: https://youarenotsosmart.com/2013/05/23/survivorship-bias/ https://youarenotsosmart.com/2013/05/23/survivorship-bias/
- mmt 8y agoIt's also quite a bit longer, though I agree it's worth the read. > You succumb to survivorship bias because you are innately terrible with statistics. This one line is probably one of my biggest takeaways, and I wish we had a good term for our poor-intuition-about-stats. Recently, I've seen it conflated with "innumeracy" here on HN, but that misses the point, as educating someone in statistics doesn't necessarily remove the natural intuition, which remains poor. We still need to be aware of it and the, not necessarily obvious, effects on our judgment it can have.