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In Sports, a Must-Win Situation Usually Leads to a Loss

• Someone 8y ago
  ”If a team had, say, a sixty-five per cent chance of winning at home in the playoffs, its odds fell to fifty-five per cent if the game was a must-win for them but not for the visitors.” I wonder how they corrected for the fact that, in those must-win games, the opponent must on average have been stronger than in the other games (if you’re up in a series, you’re likely the stronger team; if you’re down, you’re likely the weaker one)