4 ms·
After 160 hours spent operating as a "charger" in SF, for both Bird and Lime, this space is interesting. Here's my "back of the napkin math": $300 - vehicle co
by arosier 8y ago
After 160 hours spent operating as a "charger" in SF, for both Bird and Lime, this space is interesting.
Here's my "back of the napkin math":
$300 - vehicle cost (based on alibaba Xiaomi m365 estimates)
$8 - average fare (unknown)
3 - rides per day (based on 90k rides in the first 30 days)
$12 - daily cost of charging per vehicle
1% - daily fleet loss (might be closer to 2%)
1% - daily maintenance required (might be closer to 2%)
After 100 days: 0 vehicles remaining
Current return on capital: -8%
Dynamic areas of the unit economics:
- Increase number of fares per vehicle (increased battery life)
- Increased average fare (increase pricing)
- Decrease vehicle charging cost (current rate could be cut by about 65% to maintain competitive hourly compensation for type of work)
- Decrease loss rate by implementing some sort of lock- tethering system
- maxk42 8y agoI don't know about the accuracy of your numbers, but the fleet loss at least is wrong. 1% daily fleet loss would leave 36 - 37 vehicles remaining after 100 days.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- taytus 8y agoDay 1->99% Day 2->98% Day 3->97% Day 100->0%
- olasaustralia 8y agoThat's not how it works. (1-1%)^100=37%
- habosa 8y agoAverage fare is much more like ~$3