4 ms·
> It's like if a lottery gave out [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]: it's a remarkable pattern, but no more or less likely than any other particular result. Do you know if th
by ethagnawl 8y ago
> It's like if a lottery gave out [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]: it's a remarkable pattern, but no more or less likely than any other particular result.
Do you know if there's a name for the fallacy you've alluded to? (Assuming that an ordered sequence is less likely than any other.)
- gowld 8y agoInterestingly, the fallacy is actually good reasoning. Even though every permutation is equally likely, the permutations fall into equivalence classes of "notoriety", and the class of ordered sequences is far smaller (== less likely) than the class of disordered sequences (which are all equivalently noninteresting). (This is entropy, as it applies to both information and the physical world.)