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> Not all road miles are equivalent Great point. I'm looking for numbers and found this story [0] that says the fatality rate on rural roads is 2.5x urban hig
by panarky 8y ago
> Not all road miles are equivalent
Great point.
I'm looking for numbers and found this story [0] that says the fatality rate on rural roads is 2.5x urban highways.
How many miles are driven on highways and how many fatalities? Does one human driver die per 100M, 200M, 300M miles?
Should the standard for autonomous driving be 100%, 50%, or 10% of the human-driver standard before we agree that it's beneficial?
[0] https://www.npr.org/2009/11/29/120716625/the-deadliest-roads-are-rural https://www.npr.org/2009/11/29/120716625/the-deadliest-roads...
- primesplitter 8y agoAlso one still needs to include the impact bad wheather conditions, where Tesla's AP is not to be used either. Then there's the impact of "incompetent" drivers on the statistic. As a toy example, consider a world where competent drivers cause 1 death per 100mm miles. AP causes 2 deaths per 100mm miles. However, 20% of all human drivers are driving while drunk and/or sleepy and cause 10 deaths per 100mm miles. This gives an average of 2.8 deaths per 100mm miles. Clearly, AP has a better average but you should only use it while you're drunk.