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Interesting. I wonder how the markets will take it in case it passed. Because THAT is the only test that counts...
by kensai 8y ago
Interesting. I wonder how the markets will take it in case it passed. Because THAT is the only test that counts...
- pimmen 8y agoThe exact day it passes, the Swiss banking stocks would likely crash because their ability to be in control and pass the risk to the central bank (as the lender of last resort) is a big portion of their value. But, what happens in the long run to the Swiss markets? I would suspect it’s not good either, it mirrors how the money worked while on the gold standard too much for my taste in that rapid responses to recessions becomes much more complicated.
- icebraining 8y agoI don't see how it's similar to the gold standard; the central bank could still print money.
- OscarCunningham 8y agoYou're correct. And conversely as well; during the gold standard banks could still lend money from deposits.
- nickik 8y agoAbsolutely that is what 100% reserve people don't understand. The money supply under the gold standard was highly flexible. Banks depending on demand (or velocity) automatically raised or lowered their reserves. Meaning that if velocity is slow, banks would automatically lend more and create stable monetary conditions. Basically what central banks now do by having a bunch of burocrates look at statistics.
- pimmen 8y agoThe money derives its value from something central (wether it's the gold holdings of the country or the printing press) rather than being decentralized.
- nickik 8y agoNo they wouldn't because the law doesn't go into effect. The state would first have to debate how it would be implemented and they would not implement something insane. Eventually they would announce how it would work and the SNB would probably just copy the way it is doing now, with a different way of accounting.
- pjc50 8y agoSwitzerland is an unusual place; for a while it had negative central bank rates, because in its traditional role as financial haven so much foreign capital has been coming into the country that the central bank wants to keep the value of the currency down. Switzerland is not going to be short of capital. The interesting question is, would it have positive or negative effects elsewhere? e.g. if it had been in place when lots of Hungarians took out disasterous CHF-denominated mortgages.
- kgwgk 8y agoSwitzerland has negative central bank rates since 2015. So does Sweden. The European Central Bank rate is at zero, and Japan's rate has been slighly negative for a couple of years. We are living interesting times.