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> Housing is largely a problem to do with interest rates and mortgages inflating the land. Interest rates and debt impact the value of a property, but do not i
by wtvanhest 8y ago
> Housing is largely a problem to do with interest rates and mortgages inflating the land.
Interest rates and debt impact the value of a property, but do not impact the willingness to pay (i.e. the rental market). If rates were 10%, people would still be willing to pay $3k/month for a 1 bed in san francisco. The only difference is that buyers would have to adjust their offering prices due to the additional interest expense.
- user5994461 8y agoIf rates were 10%, the mortgage would be 10 years instead of 25 and that would change everything.
- wtvanhest 8y agoIt is more likely that people would extend to 40+ years.
- user5994461 8y agoYou don't understand how mortgages work. The duration decreases when the rates increases. It's not possible to reimburse a 30+ years mortgage at 10%.
- wtvanhest 8y agoPlease feel free to look up my bio in my profile. Then go play around with a basic mortgage calculator online. You will find that as you extend the length of the mortgage, the payments will approach the interest only payment level. Also, in the late 80s, early 90s, interest rates were 15%. 10% is just slightly above historic norms. It is 100% possible to reimburse a mortgage at 10%. Millions of people have done it.
- user5994461 8y agoWell, we have a lot in common then. Any basic mortgage calculator would show you that the mortgage is not viable, the interest would accrue faster than it can be paid back. The duration or the rate must go down. In the 80s, the interest rate was higher and the duration was lower. People didn't make a 30 or 40 years mortgage to buy a flat.
- wtvanhest 8y agoIts viable. But you cant pay as much which is why prices come down when rates go up...
- user5994461 8y agoThus it is not viable. It's a single equation with 3 variables. The monthly payment, the rate and the duration. The payment is about 50% of the typical salary in the area. The rate is set by the economy. The duration is determined by the two other variables, it's not adjustable on its own.
- wtvanhest 8y agoTMV calcs have 5 variables. Pv, n, pmt, rate, fv If you raise rate, and assume pmt, fv constant you must increase n or decrease pv. My original point was that pv (loan value must come down) secondarily, n increases.