3 ms·
> and you cannot believe in risk without believing in luck, because they are two sides of the same coin. Huhhh? Risk and luck are not at all obviously two side
by linkmotif 8y ago
> and you cannot believe in risk without believing in luck, because they are two sides of the same coin.
Huhhh? Risk and luck are not at all obviously two sides of the same coin. How does this duality work at all??
Risk can be measured, modeled, etc. It may not be accurate, but at least it’s something you can define and attempt to model. Sure, sometimes you may behave risky and not even realize it, given that future events may be totally different from what you expected. But in reality risks are much more transparent than luck. You can’t go and plausibly seek out luck, but you can seek and easily find risk of any variety. Want some risk? Smoke a cigarette.
Unlike risk, luck is a far less tangible concept. How it occupies the same side of the coin as risk—I have no idea. Where do you go to get luck? Risk may yield reward, but why call that luck and not the “outcome”, which like all outcomes carries a certain probability. Luck is just a pseudo-religious moralization of outcome, mostly employed by people who are unlucky.
- j7ake 8y agoRisk and luck can be two dies of the same coin. In your cigarette example, if you smoked 2 packs of cigarettes a day and you did not get lung cancer, that could be considered luck.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- duwease 8y agoThe way I read it is that they are using 'luck' and 'risk' in the colloquial sense, where 'risk' equates with 'danger' and 'luck' equates with 'good fortune'. Basically they are saying that, in a probabilistic outcome, we are comfortable acknowledging that a venture may encounter somewhat random danger, but are uncomfortable acknowledging that they may encounter somewhat random fortunes.