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You could probably calculate this. Since AI can kill 7,000,000,000 people, You could probably toss a non-zero probability on it. Any math people know how to mo
by mkirklions 8y ago
You could probably calculate this.
Since AI can kill 7,000,000,000 people, You could probably toss a non-zero probability on it. Any math people know how to model this?
Even with a bunch of different variations for the probability, you could understand why AI is so dangerous. potentially.
There are probably lots of non zero probability events like getting hit by a rogue quasar. The difference is we cannot stop the quasar and that humans are required to discover AI.
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- tlb 8y agoThe Center for Existential Risk does solid work on this. https://www.cser.ac.uk/ https://www.cser.ac.uk/ For estimating the likelihood of AGI, you can start with estimates from people in the field. Some say 0%, others say 80% chance in 50 years. Any way averaging of these produces a risk high enough to justify serious funding into safety research.