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From the author of the AI Winter post: "I don't think the winter depends on the amount that somebody makes today on AI, rather on how much people are expecting
by roymurdock 8y ago
From the author of the AI Winter post:
"I don't think the winter depends on the amount that somebody makes today on AI, rather on how much people are expecting to make in the future. If these don't match, there will be a winter. My take is that there is a huge bet against the future. And if DL ends up bringing just as much profit as it does today, interest will die very, very quickly."
- alex_young 8y agoThis possibility is interesting to consider from an economic perspective. Let's posit that DL does just that, bring in the same value (as a whole system) as non-DL. Inside such a system, there is a business advantage to implementation of DL, and there is a concentration of value around those with the largest dataset. This means that DL systems will still be very valuable in that they are a competitive advantage, but only so much as they are difficult to implement independently. The value differentiator then becomes the data itself. I think this points to a value proposition for data providers. GDPR and such seem to be quite correctly identifying and correcting for this risk.