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The "data" you've provided so far consists of: 1) A link to IIHS crash avoidance test results. The Model S got a perfect score in those results, so those resul
by mikeash 8y ago
The "data" you've provided so far consists of:
1) A link to IIHS crash avoidance test results. The Model S got a perfect score in those results, so those results don't at all support any claim that the Model S is worse. (I can certainly accept that the test is not definitive and the Model S could be worse than others while still getting a perfect score. My point is merely that this is not relevant data.)
2. A mention of 18 crashes with Autopilot enabled. Without a baseline to compare it to or at least some sort of rate based on the total fleet activity, this is more of an anecdote than data. Note that the average American driver crashes about once every 18 years (https://www.forbes.com/sites/moneybuilder/2011/07/27/how-many-times-will-you-crash-your-car/#2f35cda24e62 https://www.forbes.com/sites/moneybuilder/2011/07/27/how-man...) and there are around 175,000 Teslas on American roads right now (https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1115454_tesla-expects-200000th-u-s-sale-this-year-electric-car-tax-credits-to-start-phaseout https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1115454_tesla-expects-2...). If Tesla drivers crash at the average rate, we'd expect to see about 175000/18/365 = 26.6 Tesla crashes every day, and that's just in the US. 18 Autopilot crashes ever is... not very high.
3. A completely unsourced and frankly implausible claim that the crash rate for other manufacturers' driver assistance features is zero.
- DannyBee 8y agoSo, then still zero data from you to back up any of your theories up, at all, but still more skepticism and random crapping on literally the only data provided so far. Okay, i'm out.
- mikeash 8y agoAn average of 26.6 Tesla crashes per day isn’t data? It’s more relevant or more reliable than anything you’ve given.