Is there a known probability curve? With so many actors it could be very steep. Like 51% capacity has 99% chance of success and 49% has 1% of success and 40% h

Is there a known probability curve? With so many actors it could be very steep. Like 51% capacity has 99% chance of success and 49% has 1% of success and 40% has practically zero chance (these are made up numbers). It could also be quite shallow as in 1% capacity gives you 1% of success... that would actually be quite bad and invite malicious actors to test the system with regular attacks.