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When you're planning to replace a profession with technology, it's a winning strategy to start spreading long-term career doom over the profession a few years a
by tlb 8y ago
When you're planning to replace a profession with technology, it's a winning strategy to start spreading long-term career doom over the profession a few years ahead of when you're ready to launch, so that there'll be a labor shortage and higher wages when you're ready to enter the market.
(Not dealing with ethics here, just strategy for winning.)
We've had a few years now of news stories about how truck drivers will all be replaced with self-driving. I'd wondered about whether that was good strategy on the part of companies working on self-driving, because it might cause truck drivers to organize and lobby for regulation to keep it out. But it seems to be working for them.
- jessriedel 8y agoOr the people making predictions are basically right, and young people are rationally not opting as frequently to join the profession?
- Nasrudith 8y agoYeah that has already been a problem with petroleum engineers. Even if they don't have any ethical objection to working in it the writing is on the wall that it may not be a 40+ year career. The same with COBOL. Although the old software is zombie-ing along there isn't much new being written.