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Is that due to the larger history of success of the Arianne family of rockets?
by rhcom2 8y ago
Is that due to the larger history of success of the Arianne family of rockets?
- planteen 8y agoCertainly part of it. I think the JWST is supposed to be a collaboration between NASA, CSA, and ESA. The European contribution is the launch vehicle.
- Symmetry 8y agoRockets tend to get more reliable as they get older because designers find all the various failure modes and fix them. It's normal to have a couple of rapid unplanned disassemblies in your first ten or twenty flights. Ariane 5 did. Falcon 9 did. Basically everyone but ULA does. The only difference between the Ariane 5 and Falcon 9 is that the Ariane 5 has a lot more flights under its belt.
- danpalmer 8y agoI was interested in your comment about Ariane 5 having a lot more flights under its belt, as it has seemed like SpaceX has ramped up their launches considerably, and the article talks about 5-10 launches per year for the new Ariane 6. So I went and looked up the details... For anyone interested, Ariane 5 has had 98 launches (93 successful) and Falcon 9 has had 54 launches (52 successful). However, Falcon 9 has 18 launches in 2017, and is on track for 28 this year (8 completed so far), whereas Ariane 5 had just 6 in 2017 and is on track for 10 this year. It’s definitely true that Ariane 5 has more experience under its belt so far, but that seems to be changing quickly, and with Ariane 6 resetting some of that experience, I think SpaceX are at a significant advantage here.
- valuearb 8y agoAnother way to look at it is that the Ariane 5 has 5 failures across less than 200 rocket engine uses (ignoring solids), while SpaceX has 2 failures across 540 rocket engine uses.
- baq 8y agospacex also had a total vehicle and payload loss while standing on the pad with engines off, so your metric should be more like 1/540... but then you want to count test firings at mcgregor and every wet dress rehearsals/static fires.