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It's not just a US issue. Fertility drops below replacement rate all across the world in urban settings with modern economies, from Germany to Japan to China, e
by ghostcluster 8y ago
It's not just a US issue. Fertility drops below replacement rate all across the world in urban settings with modern economies, from Germany to Japan to China, even trending in sub saharan Africa https://www.ageing.ox.ac.uk/blog/Is-fertility-stalling-in-sub-saharan-africa https://www.ageing.ox.ac.uk/blog/Is-fertility-stalling-in-su...
- martinpw 8y agoThat article is not particularly reassuring. Although the rate is declining in sub-saharan africa, it is very slow and seems to be stalling out. The example of Niger is particularly concerning: [...] the shrinking arable land beset by frequent drought, is supporting a rapidly expanding population. [...] expected to grow from some 16 million today to 55 million in 2050, reaching 140 million by the end of the century A 10x increase in population, decreasing farmland, and then add the effects of climate change on top...
- ghostcluster 8y agoIt will mean a big problem for Europe as the level of outflow is likely set to accelerate over the coming decades. Who knows what the political consequences will be..