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This article is lazy, superficial mockery. (So, it's totally on-brand for the modern Salon.) * Knocks Vinge as having "lacked the business savvy to fully explo
by gojomo 8y ago
This article is lazy, superficial mockery. (So, it's totally on-brand for the modern Salon.)
* Knocks Vinge as having "lacked the business savvy to fully exploit the market potential of his ideas" – as if he'd tried, and failed, instead of just been a successful professor & award-winning SF author. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vernor_Vinge https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vernor_Vinge)
* Sneers at Kurzweil as if he's one-act Singularity huckster – when in fact his notoriety stems from a long, successful career as a inventor/technologist (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil). The exponentialism is an important part of his later writing & speaking, and perhaps a motivating/unifying theme for his other work and overall optimism, but hardly the whole Kurzweil.
A funny thing about Kurzweil is despite the far-out nature of his projections & predictions & prescriptions, in his tone and presentation, he's still really understated – a mild-mannered professor making interesting observations.
If there's even an outside chance he's right, he (or someone else) would be justified with a far more emphatic, 'evangelical', alarm-raising presentation. "Big changes are coming, we'd better get ready!"
- khitchdee 8y ago"big changes are coming, we'd better get ready!" that seems to suggest someone else other than us is creating thise changes and they are going to catch us unawares. The rate at which change happens in technology is painstakingly slow. Each rev of a product typically takes a year. Scientific research typically takes even longer. At such a slow rate of change its hard to imagine something is going to hit us in the face before we know it. Instead, it's more likely we'll chart a slow path towards the future. Slow enough that even somehting like the singularity, if it were to happen would occur over an extended period of time which would mean it would no longer be a singularity but a far more gradual change.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]