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Probability is also based on what you know. Nobody believed NSA was collating information about Americans online the way they did, so using probability you don'
by some_account 8y ago
Probability is also based on what you know. Nobody believed NSA was collating information about Americans online the way they did, so using probability you don't reach the correct answer. The CIA is smuggling drugs and has committed lots of serious crimes across the world. Again, what is the probability of this?
- naasking 8y agoQuite a few people believed the NSA were collecting everything, but I agree that quantifying what you don't know is challenging. Even so, you often don't need to precisely quantify each outcome so long as you can calculate a relative difference between the various outcomes you are aware of. Most questions in daily lifehave order of magnitude differences between them.